Agilent Poised to Recover on Earnings
Posted by Brooks McFeely on Thu, Nov 13, 2008 @ 09:50 AM

Investors should consider shares of Agilent Technologies (A) following its earnings after the close Friday. The stock has fallen with the
rest of the techs, dropping nearly 35% since the end of September alone. The company’s
earnings release will tell the story after-hours which is likely to begin and
end with the realization that this baby has been thrown out with the bath
water.
This bio-analytical and electronic measurement solutions
company provides to the life-sciences and broader health care sector which
hasn’t seen as rapid a deterioration relative to the rest of the non-healthcare
tech economy.
Stay tuned to pre-market trading Friday morning as investors
react to Agilent’s earnings news and send a strong signal that the stock price
reflects the worst case scenario which hasn’t materialized. Analysts polled by
Thomson Financial expect the company to report a Q4 profit of $0.59 per share
on revenue of $1.54 billion.
Trading in the pre-market Friday will tell the tale, as the extended-hours
earnings related price move in Agilent tends to provide a clear forecast of the
near term direction of the stock. Taking a look back, the stock tends to
extended gains or losses from the pre-market to the following regular session
and beyond. The consistency is staggering, with the stock seeing more
aggressive follow-through price action into the days and weeks following.
The quarterly earnings reaction data going back to 2005
demonstrates the same pattern as the last four quarters below.
On Aug. 14, 2008, Agilent advanced 0.6% in after-hours trade after coming in
with revenue shy of Street forecasts and setting its guidance below expectations.
The stock cut its upside slightly the next day, ending the Aug. 15 regular
session up 0.5%.
On May 15, 2008, the stock gained 4.1% during evening trading after A reported
better-than-expected results and outlook. The gain improved to 8.6% by the
closing bell the following day.
On Feb. 13, 2008, Agilent declined 0.5% in after-hours trade after beating Q1
expectations and offered mixed guidance. It added to its downside in the Feb.
14 regular session, losing 3.5% by the closing bell.
On Nov. 15, 2007, A advanced 2.4% in after-hours trade after topping Q4
expectations. It firmed even higher the next day, rising 8.9% by the Nov. 16
closing bell.
If traders bid up shares of Agilent following its earnings release ahead of the
open Friday, consider taking a long position in the pre-market and let history
prove its value.
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