Tag Archives: analyst

Bank of America, Microsoft, and IBM Continue Earnings Parade

bankamericaStocks ended their sixth straight week with gains, but a number of financial companies, including Bank of America (BAC) and U.S. Bancorp (USB) still have yet to report results. Aside from banks, technology companies will also dominate earnings this week as investors hear from IBM (IBM), Microsoft Corp. (MSFT), and Advanced Micro Devices Inc. (AMD).

Goldman Sachs (GS) and Wells Fargo (WFC) have eased some investors concerns after posting earnings improvements in the first-quarter, however, some of the optimism was reigned in last week after UBS AG (UBS) said it expects to report a first-quarter loss of nearly $1.75 billion and will cut 8,700 jobs worldwide by the end of next year. Citigroup (C) also reported better-than-expected first-quarter results Friday, though the company continues to take charges to reserve for consumer defaults.

On Monday, IBM reports its first-quarter results in after-hours trading, and analysts polled by Reuters expect a profit of $1.66, up 1.2% from a year ago, on revenue of $22.6 billion. The stock is down 16% over the past 12 months.

Investors trading into earnings should know that IBM favors a long-term reversal pattern in its session-to-session performance, crossing narrower next-day percentage closing levels following after-hours earnings events in 11 of the last 19. However, the near-term is mixed, with the stock widening once, narrowing once, and reversing twice its rafter-hours move in the following regular session. On January 20, the stock rose 4% in after-hours trading when IBM guided for higher 2009 earnings. The stock widened its move in the following trading session, ending up 11.5%.

Yahoo! (YHOO) is due with its first-quarter results after the close on Tuesday and is expected to report earnings of $0.08 per share, down 27% from a year ago, on revenue of $1.2 billion. Yahoo shares are down 50% over the past 12 months and are trading slightly above their 50-day moving average.

Investors trading into earnings should know that in the near-term, Yahoo is trending toward widening its after-hours move, doing so in two of the last four quarter. On January 27, the stocks rose 4.2% in after-hours trading after earnings beat the Street. The stock widened its move in the following regular session, ending up 7.9%.

Digg digg it | Reddit reddit | del.icio.us del.icio.us | StumbleUpon StumbleUpon 

Weak Results From Baidu.com and Analog Devices Already Priced In

baidujpgThis week, investors will continue to focus on the economic stimulus package and financial bailout plan, keeping earnings reports on the back of their minds. Aside from a few earnings reports of interest, the government will release the latest figures on inflation at the consumer and wholesale level. Inflation has been less of a concern as the price of oil, food, cars and clothes all sink. In fact, some economists are talking more about deflation and predict that the consumer price index will go negative this year.

A few key earnings reports will likely move the markets this week including Wal-Mart Stores (WMT) and Hewlett-Packard (HPQ). Both companies should give investors an idea of how much or little consumers are spending. Aside from those major players, a number of other companies will release quarterly results.

Baidu.com (BIDU) is expected to release fourth-quarter results after the close on Wednesday, and analysts expect China’s most popular search engine to report earnings of $1.34 per share, up 54 percent from a year ago, on revenue of $132.5 million. In December, Baidu.com lowered its fourth-quarter revenue guidance after it suspended thousands of merchants from its paid-search service that were selling medical products without licenses on file.

If investors want to trade into earnings, they should know that Baidu has a tendency to narrow or reverse its next-day share move following its post-earnings share performance in the preceding evening session. It’s done so eight times and widened five in the quarters we’ve tracked. Near term, the stock is trending toward widening, doing so in three of the last four quarters. On October 22, the stock fell 2.8% in after-hours trading after earnings beat and revenue met estimates. The stock widened its loss the following trading session, ending down 14.7%. Shorts may want to find a top if the stock starts to sink in the after-hours.

Analog Devices (ADI) is due to report first quarter results after the bell Thursday as well. Analysts polled by Thomson Reuters expect the company to post a profit of $0.16 per share, down 58 percent from a year ago, on revenue of $475.9 million. The semiconductor company recently lowered its outlook for its fiscal first quarter due to weak demand in the weak economy, which is already priced into the stock going into earnings.

If traders are interested in playing this one, Analog Devices shows a relatively consistent tendency to widen its next-day move after an after-hours earnings release, doing so in 12 of the last 15 events we’ve tracked. Near term, the stock has widened in three of the last four quarters. On November 11, ADI fell 2.6% in after-hours trading after issuing weaker-than-expected guidance. The stock widened its loss the following session, ending down 6.7%.

Digg digg it | Reddit reddit | del.icio.us del.icio.us | StumbleUpon StumbleUpon 

Home Contact Us Disclaimer Privacy Policy Help Login

© Copyright 2010 Midnight Trader. All Rights Reserved.