Tag Archives: short

Earnings Preview: Novell and Marvell Hint To Aggressive Widening Moves

 

novellThe coming week is a shortened one but not without a slew of news.   Investors will hear a number of economic reports including consumer confidence, gross domestic product and durable goods.  Also, a number of companies are slated to report quarterly results including TiVo Inc. (TIVO), Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST), and HJ Heinz Co. (HNZ).

Novell Inc. (NOVL) is slated report its fiscal second-quarter results after the bell Thursday, and analysts expect the company to post earnings of $0.06 per share, even with the same time last year, on revenue of $218 million, according to Reuters Estimates. 

Investors trading into earnings should know that this stock is a strong performer between the sessions, demonstrating a consistent tendency to follow through with more aggressive, same-direction next-day movement following its evening earnings events. It’s posted more robust next day trade following 15 of the last 20 after-hours earnings events we’ve tracked. In the near-term, the stock is maintaining its follow-on trend, adding to its after-hours performance in next-day trade in three of the past four quarters. 

Marvell Technology Group (MRVL) is due with its first-quarter results after the bell Thursday and is expected to report earnings of $0.04 per share, down from $0.24 a year ago, on revenue of $510.6 million. 

Marvell has a tendency to see its after-hours performance narrow or reverse course in next day trade, with only a few exceptions. In the near-term, the stock’s performance is shifting, the stock has widened in three of four quarters with the most recent quarter being the exception.  On March 3, the stock rallied 8.9% in after-hours trading after the company reported results that topped the Street.  The stock trimmed the gain slightly the following regular session, ending up 7.2%.

Digg digg it | Reddit reddit | del.icio.us del.icio.us | StumbleUpon StumbleUpon 

Wal-Mart, Priceline.com, Macy’s Kick Off Retail Earnings Next Week

pricelineLast week, investors got a peak at how well retailers are faring after companies from Wal-Mart Stores (WMT) to Wet Seal Inc. (WTSLA) reported their sales results for April.  For the most part, April retail sales were better-than-expected, showing signs that their declines are slowing.  Next week, earnings from Wal-Mart, Macy’s Inc (M), Kohl’s Corp. (KSS) and Nordstrom Inc.  (JWN) will give investors a better idea of their outlooks for the near future.

Priceline.com (PCLN) is due with its first-quarter results in the extended-hours session Monday. The average analyst estimate in the Thomson Reuters survey is for $0.91 per share, up from $0.76 per share a year ago, on revenue of $440.8 million.

Investors going long should know that Priceline.com shows a tendency to widen its next day share movement following an evening earnings release, doing so for 15 of the past 21 quarters. In the near-term, the stock is also showing that pattern, widening its share move three times in the most recent four quarters.  On February 18, the stock rallied 12.8% in after-hours trading and extended those gains the following regular session, ending up 16.6%.

Looking deeper into the performance data, longs may be interested to know that Priceline has seen a positive post-bell earnings-driven trade in 13 of the 21 quarters we’ve tracked, and in 10 of those upside evening moves the stock has followed that trade with a more aggressive positive run in the next day’s regular session.

Whole Foods Market, Inc. (WFMI) is another stock that likes to widen its extended-hours move following earnings.  On Wednesday, the high-end grocery chain is expected to report earnings of $0.18 per share, down from $0.29 a year ago, on revenue of $1.87 billion.

Whole Foods has developed a strong pattern of widening price moves between the sessions following its after-hours earnings-related events, extending its move after 14 of its past 19 earnings-related events. In the near-term, the pattern is mixed, however, with two narrowing and two widening events in the last four quarters.  On February 18, the stock rallied 7.3% in after-hours trading after quarterly results beat the Street.  The stock extended those gains the following regular session, ending up a whopping 37.2%.

Digg digg it | Reddit reddit | del.icio.us del.icio.us | StumbleUpon StumbleUpon 

Earnings Play: Baidu and Akamai Pointing Toward Widening Moves

baiduInvestors will continue to hear earnings results from a number of companies this week including Starbucks (SBUX) and Motorola (MOT),  just to name a few. On Wednesday, investors will also get their first peak at how well the economy fared in the first-quarter, when advanced gross domestic product is released.

Baidu.com (BIDU) is due to report first-quarter results after the close on Monday. Analysts expect China’s top Internet search company to report earnings of $0.75 per share, up from $0.60 a year ago, on revenue of $115.2 million. Shares have gained 63% since the beginning of the year as advertising sales start to pick up. On April 17, the company it had seen a significant rise in advertising since late January, as business sentiment improved in the world’s third largest economy

Baidu is one for longs to watch as the stock has shown a strong tendency in the near-term to widen its next-day share move following its post-earnings share performance in the preceding evening session. It’s done so four out of the last four quarters MidnightTrader.com has tracked. Three out of four of those move were to the upside. On February 18, shares rose 0.7% in the after-hours and widened the next day, ending up 3.5%.

Akamai Technologies (AKAM) releases its first-quarter results after the close of trading Wednesday. Analysts expect the company to report earnings of $0.40 per share, down from $0.41 a year ago, on revenue of $208.3 million.

AKAM has recorded more aggressive next-day closing levels following 16 of its last 21 after-hours earnings events. In fact, the stock has seen wider next-day moves in 13 of its last 15 earnings periods and in the last four out of five quarters. On February 4, the stock rose 7.4% in after-hours action and widened its move the next regular session, ending up 18.1%.

Digg digg it | Reddit reddit | del.icio.us del.icio.us | StumbleUpon StumbleUpon 

Did Goldman Take The Steam Out of a RIMM Rally?

Blackberry Curve

Blackberry Curve

Stocks managed to close out a third week of gains, on track to cap off their best month in more than seven years, as a few glimmers of hope in economic reports signaled the economy may be turning a corner. Investors will be watching to see if the rally can continue this week with a few key economic reports expected to shape trading. The unemployment report is expected Friday and economists expect the rate to rise to 8.4% in March from 8.1% the prior month. The economy is also expected to have lost 650,000 jobs in March, little changed from February’s loss of 651,000.

Research In Motion (RIMM) is due with its fourth-quarter results after the bell Thursday and is expected to report earnings of $0.84 per share, up 16.7% from a year ago, on revenue of $3.4 billion, according to Reuters Estimates. Investors may want to be wary going into earnings, especially after the recent run it made following comments from Goldman Sachs. On Thursday, the analyst recommended investors buy the stock ahead of the company’s quarterly report, sending shares higher by 5 percent.

If investors do want to go long, they should know that RIMM has made gains in after-hours trading in eight of the past 20 quarters that MidnightTrader.com has tracked. In four of those events, the stock moved more aggressively to the upside the next day.

Micron Technology (MU) is slated to report fourth-quarter results after the bell Thursday. The chip maker is expected to report a loss of $0.64 per share, down 56% from a loss a year ago, on sales of $1.14 billion.

Shorts should be wary of trading this stock as Micron has a tendency to reverse its evening declines the next day. The stock recorded a downside move 12 times in the last 20 quarters, and in seven of those negative trades, shares followed that action by narrowing or reversing its negative trade in the next day’s bell-to-bell action. In the most recent quarter, Micron slid 14.4% in after-hours trading and reversed its move the following regular session, ending up 9.7%.

Digg digg it | Reddit reddit | del.icio.us del.icio.us | StumbleUpon StumbleUpon 

Signals Show Investors May Want to Go Long This Week on Xilinx and Marvell

xilinxjpgStocks will likely continue to test their lows in the coming week after touching their lowest levels since 1997 this past week. Investors continued to get hammered with disappointing economic news including a weaker-than-expected gross domestic product and steep drop in existing home sales. Investors also digested Citigroup’s deal, in which the government and private investors will convert preferred stock into common shares.

As for earnings, Xilinx (XLNX) is scheduled to report fourth-quarter earnings after the bell Tuesday. Analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters are expecting earnings per share of $0.15, down 56% from a year ago, on revenue of $365.7 million. Shares have leaned toward a pattern of widening price moves between the after-hours and regular session following 13 of its past 19 earnings-related events. In the near-term, the stock has widened its share move in three of the most recent four quarters.

Xilinx is shaping up to gain a following on either side of the trade after its earnings report. The stock has recorded an earnings-driven upside move in 12 of the last 19 quarters in MidnightTrader.com’s database. It posted a more aggressive upside move the next day in eight of those events. On the downside, Xilinx has recorded seven earnings-driven after-hours declines, and added to its downside move five times the next day.

Marvell Technology Group (MRVL) is due with its fourth-quarter results after the bell on Thursday, and analysts polled by Thomson Reuters are expecting the company to report a profit of a penny a share, down 95% from a year ago, on revenue of $510.9 million.

The stock has been trending toward widening its moves recently, doing so in three of the past four quarters. On December 2, the stock jumped 10.6% in after hours action and extended its gains the following regular session, ending up 20.4%.

Digg digg it | Reddit reddit | del.icio.us del.icio.us | StumbleUpon StumbleUpon 

Earnings This Week; Investors Are Betting Against NVIDIA

nvidiajpgInvestors will be closely watching Capitol Hill for signs of an expected financial package. Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner is expected to disclose the administration’s plans to address still-ailing financial institutions. The creation of a “bad bank” to warehouse bad loans is widely expected. Anticipation for a financial package sent stocks soaring on Friday despite a disappointing unemployment report. This week earnings will continue as investors hear results from Beazer Homes (BZH), SOHU.com (SOHU) and UBS (UBS), just to name a few.

NVIDIA Corp. (NVDA) is set to report its fourth-quarter results after the bell on Tuesday, and analysts polled by Thomson Financial are expecting the company to report a loss of ten cents per share on revenue of $487.2 million. Shares of NVDIA recently saw a huge surge in short interest, according to Nasdaq. The exchange said short interest rose 67% January 15 compared with December 31 in the stock. So, investors are betting shares will see a steep decline in the coming weeks.

Nvidia slightly favors a narrowing pattern between its after-hours move and the next day session following an evening earnings event. However, in the near-term performance, the stock is showing a tendency to widen its move, doing so in three out of the past four quarters. On November 6, the stock rallied 13.5% in extended hours after the company’s third-quarter results beat the Street. The stock widened its gain in the following regular session, ending up 14.4%.

Applied Materials (AMAT) is due with its fiscal first-quarter results after the close on Tuesday, and analysts polled by Thomson Financial are expecting the company to report a profit of a penny a share, down 96% from a year ago, on revenue of $1.4 billion. However, the biggest supplier of semiconductor manufacturing equipment recently warned of a loss of 9 to 11 cents per share, after expecting in November earnings of zero to 4 cents a share. The stock has found support above $9 per share, as it hasn’t closed below that level in the past two months.

The stock has a tendency to narrow its after-hours movement the next day following an evening earnings event. It has done so after 11 of the last 19 earnings events. The near-term performance is mixed, however, with two narrower moves and two wider moves in the last four quarters. On November 12, shares of Applied Materials fell 1.4% after the company warned that profit would fall short in the upcoming quarter. However, shares reversed course in the following trading session, ending sharply higher by 14.3%.

Digg digg it | Reddit reddit | del.icio.us del.icio.us | StumbleUpon StumbleUpon 

Home Contact Us Disclaimer Privacy Policy Help Login

© Copyright 2010 Midnight Trader. All Rights Reserved.